Sans Bush, the nuclear pact would not have happened; it marks a paradigm shift in US's India policy
The Chinese in this case worked very closely with Pakistan in approaching members of the NSG over the past three years with the hope of persuading members to oppose this deal. The strategy was to delay the process till there was a valid criteria an for vindicating a similar exemption for Pakistan. The failure of these attempts were a slap on the face of Chinese in their efforts to contain India.
It is now evident that given India’s growing economic strength & its developing military potential, the world is not going to join them in trying to contain a rising power. This agreement makes a material difference to the strategic nuclear programme. In any case, the eight reactors that we were going to use to manufacture nuclear weapons remain outside the scope of international statements. I would not say this deal has given us any military leverage, but what it has done is to get 45 countries to tacitly acknowledge that India will essentially remain a nuclear power. The end of the sanctions came about primarily because George Bush has turned out to be the most India-friendly President we have seen. Unlike past US Presidents, who had focused their attention on forcing India to “cap, roll back and eliminate its nuclear weapons programme”, Bush has turned out to be the first US President who finds that the complementaries of interest are so much with India that India’s nuclear weapons programme should not come in the way.
In some ways it could be an asset to US’s interests. On our West, Afghanistan and Pakistan have become epicentres of global terrorism. To our east, countries like Bangladesh and Myanmar are hardly stable. And in the Indian Ocean region, where Somalia is becoming dysfunctional and Ethiopia is unstable, India is seen as constituting an essential partner for stability and economic growth.
The Chinese in this case worked very closely with Pakistan in approaching members of the NSG over the past three years with the hope of persuading members to oppose this deal. The strategy was to delay the process till there was a valid criteria an for vindicating a similar exemption for Pakistan. The failure of these attempts were a slap on the face of Chinese in their efforts to contain India.
It is now evident that given India’s growing economic strength & its developing military potential, the world is not going to join them in trying to contain a rising power. This agreement makes a material difference to the strategic nuclear programme. In any case, the eight reactors that we were going to use to manufacture nuclear weapons remain outside the scope of international statements. I would not say this deal has given us any military leverage, but what it has done is to get 45 countries to tacitly acknowledge that India will essentially remain a nuclear power. The end of the sanctions came about primarily because George Bush has turned out to be the most India-friendly President we have seen. Unlike past US Presidents, who had focused their attention on forcing India to “cap, roll back and eliminate its nuclear weapons programme”, Bush has turned out to be the first US President who finds that the complementaries of interest are so much with India that India’s nuclear weapons programme should not come in the way.
In some ways it could be an asset to US’s interests. On our West, Afghanistan and Pakistan have become epicentres of global terrorism. To our east, countries like Bangladesh and Myanmar are hardly stable. And in the Indian Ocean region, where Somalia is becoming dysfunctional and Ethiopia is unstable, India is seen as constituting an essential partner for stability and economic growth.
An Initiative of IIPM, Malay Chaudhuri
and Arindam Chaudhuri (Renowned Management Guru and Economist).
and Arindam Chaudhuri (Renowned Management Guru and Economist).
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